10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 173.96 · S2 172.22 · S3 139.34 · S4 150.55
④ Position
50% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (174-185), pos 50%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 184.69 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 173.96, stop 188.38
- IF 失守 173.96 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 172.22 → 171.35
- IF 突破 188.38 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 193.92 → 160.97
- IF 跌穿 150.55 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d
55% win (n=20) · +1.3%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 160.97
- R1 (today high)
- 184.69
- Last
- 179.37
- S1 KEY
- 173.96
- S3
- 139.34
- S4 (crash)
- 150.55
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.