10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 3,377.00 · S2 3,343.23 · S3 3,390.00 · S4 2,758.00
④ Position
86% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (3377-3954), entry at R1 3954, target mid 3666, stop 4118
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 3,954.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 3,377.00, stop 4,033.08
- IF 失守 3,377.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 3,343.23 → 3,326.34
- IF 突破 4,033.08 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 4,151.70 → 4,955.00
- IF 跌穿 2,758.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
3,954.00
Target
3,665.50
Stop
4,118.06
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.15%
Reward
+7.30%
R:R
1.76 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 4,955.00
- R1 (today high)
- 3,924.00
- Last
- 3,876.00
- S1 KEY
- 3,588.00
- S3
- 3,390.00
- S4 (crash)
- 2,758.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.