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JP · SAPPORO BREWERIES LTD

2501.T 1,932.00 +0.81%

SAPPORO BREWERIES LTD · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Downtrend active

Phase: Downtrend active Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE Reliability:
2501.T daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Downtrend active
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 1,881.00 · S2 1,862.19 · S3 1,470.00 · S4 1,467.00
④ Position 24% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (1881-2091), pos 24%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 2,091.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 1,881.00, stop 2,132.82
  • IF 失守 1,881.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 1,862.19 → 1,852.79
  • IF 突破 2,132.82 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 2,195.55 → 1,917.50
  • IF 跌穿 1,467.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
1,917.50
R1 (today high)
1,941.50
Last
1,932.00
S1 KEY
1,881.00
S3
1,470.00
S4 (crash)
1,467.00
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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