10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 10,800.00 · S2 10,692.00 · S3 9,602.00 · S4 8,083.00
④ Position
69% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (10800-12795), entry at R1 12795, target mid 11798, stop 13319
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 12,795.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 10,800.00, stop 13,050.90
- IF 失守 10,800.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 10,692.00 → 10,638.00
- IF 突破 13,050.90 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 13,434.75 → 11,910.00
- IF 跌穿 8,083.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
12,795.00
Target
11,797.50
Stop
13,319.36
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.10%
Reward
+7.80%
R:R
1.90 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 11,910.00
- R1 (today high)
- 12,340.00
- Last
- 12,170.00
- S1 KEY
- 10,800.00
- S3
- 9,602.00
- S4 (crash)
- 8,083.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.