10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 2,805.50 · S2 2,777.45 · S3 2,371.00 · S4 2,152.00
④ Position
76% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (2806-3132), entry at R1 3132, target mid 2969, stop 3240
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 3,132.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 2,805.50, stop 3,194.64
- IF 失守 2,805.50 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 2,777.45 → 2,763.42
- IF 突破 3,194.64 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 3,288.60 → 2,773.00
- IF 跌穿 2,152.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
3,132.00
Target
2,968.75
Stop
3,240.38
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.46%
Reward
+5.21%
R:R
1.51 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 2,773.00
- R1 (today high)
- 3,060.00
- Last
- 3,053.00
- S1 KEY
- 2,960.00
- S3
- 2,371.00
- S4 (crash)
- 2,152.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.