10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 4,364.00 · S2 4,320.36 · S3 3,987.00 · S4 4,319.00
④ Position
90% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (4364-4721), entry at R1 4721, target mid 4542, stop 4830
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 4,721.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 4,364.00, stop 4,815.42
- IF 失守 4,364.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 4,320.36 → 4,298.54
- IF 突破 4,815.42 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 4,957.05 → 4,628.00
- IF 跌穿 4,319.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
4,721.00
Target
4,542.50
Stop
4,830.35
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.32%
Reward
+3.78%
R:R
1.63 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 4,628.00
- R1 (today high)
- 4,721.00
- Last
- 4,686.00
- S1 KEY
- 4,568.00
- S3
- 3,987.00
- S4 (crash)
- 4,319.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.