← Back to JP Signals
JP · JAPAN TOBACCO INC

2914.T 6,948.00 -0.76%

JAPAN TOBACCO INC · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Downtrend active

Phase: Downtrend active Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE Reliability:
2914.T daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Downtrend active
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 6,671.00 · S2 6,604.29 · S3 5,551.00 · S4 5,260.00
④ Position 51% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (6671-7218), pos 51%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 7,218.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 6,671.00, stop 7,362.36
  • IF 失守 6,671.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 6,604.29 → 6,570.93
  • IF 突破 7,362.36 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 7,578.90 → 6,474.00
  • IF 跌穿 5,260.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
6,474.00
R1 (today high)
6,996.00
Last
6,948.00
S1 KEY
6,671.00
S3
5,551.00
S4 (crash)
5,260.00
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
← Back to JP Signals Methodology
← 2502.T ASAHI GROUP HLDGS → 2931.T EUGLENA CO LTD