10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 3,140.00 · S2 3,108.60 · S3 2,880.00 · S4 3,008.00
④ Position
77% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (3140-3782), entry at R1 3782, target mid 3461, stop 3902
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 3,782.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 3,140.00, stop 3,857.64
- IF 失守 3,140.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 3,108.60 → 3,092.90
- IF 突破 3,857.64 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 3,971.10 → 3,221.50
- IF 跌穿 3,008.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
3,782.00
Target
3,461.00
Stop
3,901.61
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.16%
Reward
+8.49%
R:R
2.68 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 3,221.50
- R1 (today high)
- 3,644.00
- Last
- 3,635.00
- S1 KEY
- 3,284.00
- S3
- 2,880.00
- S4 (crash)
- 3,008.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.