10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1,669.00 · S2 1,652.31 · S3 1,582.00 · S4 1,512.00
④ Position
73% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (1669-1826), entry at R1 1826, target mid 1748, stop 1874
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,826.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 1,669.00, stop 1,862.52
- IF 失守 1,669.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 1,652.31 → 1,643.96
- IF 突破 1,862.52 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,917.30 → 1,886.00
- IF 跌穿 1,512.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
1,826.00
Target
1,747.50
Stop
1,874.31
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.65%
Reward
+4.30%
R:R
1.63 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 1,886.00
- R1 (today high)
- 1,784.00
- Last
- 1,784.00
- S1 KEY
- 1,744.00
- S3
- 1,582.00
- S4 (crash)
- 1,512.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.