10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1,538.00 · S2 1,522.62 · S3 1,238.00 · S4 1,444.00
④ Position
73% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (1538-1762), entry at R1 1762, target mid 1650, stop 1840
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,762.50 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 1,538.00, stop 1,797.75
- IF 失守 1,538.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 1,522.62 → 1,514.93
- IF 突破 1,797.75 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,850.62 → 1,537.00
- IF 跌穿 1,444.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
1,762.50
Target
1,650.25
Stop
1,839.81
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.39%
Reward
+6.37%
R:R
1.45 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 1,537.00
- R1 (today high)
- 1,713.00
- Last
- 1,702.50
- S1 KEY
- 1,652.00
- S3
- 1,238.00
- S4 (crash)
- 1,444.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.