10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 184.00 · S2 182.16 · S3 170.00 · S4 166.00
④ Position
64% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (184-220), entry at R1 220, target mid 202, stop 230
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 220.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 184.00, stop 224.40
- IF 失守 184.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 182.16 → 181.24
- IF 突破 224.40 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 231.00 → 195.00
- IF 跌穿 166.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
220.00
Target
202.00
Stop
230.13
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.61%
Reward
+8.18%
R:R
1.78 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 195.00
- R1 (today high)
- 209.00
- Last
- 207.00
- S1 KEY
- 200.00
- S3
- 170.00
- S4 (crash)
- 166.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.