10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 2,751.00 · S2 2,723.49 · S3 2,645.00 · S4 2,433.00
④ Position
88% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (2751-3135), entry at R1 3135, target mid 2943, stop 3263
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 3,135.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 2,751.00, stop 3,197.70
- IF 失守 2,751.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 2,723.49 → 2,709.74
- IF 突破 3,197.70 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 3,291.75 → 3,340.00
- IF 跌穿 2,433.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
3,135.00
Target
2,943.00
Stop
3,263.27
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.09%
Reward
+6.12%
R:R
1.50 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 3,340.00
- R1 (today high)
- 3,135.00
- Last
- 3,090.00
- S1 KEY
- 3,000.00
- S3
- 2,645.00
- S4 (crash)
- 2,433.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.