10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 2,814.00 · S2 2,785.86 · S3 2,082.00 · S4 2,103.00
④ Position
62% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (2814-3189), entry at R1 3189, target mid 3002, stop 3301
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 3,189.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 2,814.00, stop 3,252.78
- IF 失守 2,814.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 2,785.86 → 2,771.79
- IF 突破 3,252.78 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 3,348.45 → 2,622.00
- IF 跌穿 2,103.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
3,189.00
Target
3,001.50
Stop
3,300.52
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.50%
Reward
+5.88%
R:R
1.68 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 2,622.00
- R1 (today high)
- 3,124.00
- Last
- 3,047.00
- S1 KEY
- 2,936.00
- S3
- 2,082.00
- S4 (crash)
- 2,103.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.