10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 4,791.00 · S2 4,743.09 · S3 4,147.00 · S4 3,270.00
④ Position
66% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (4791-5754), entry at R1 5754, target mid 5272, stop 6068
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 5,754.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 4,791.00, stop 5,869.08
- IF 失守 4,791.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 4,743.09 → 4,719.14
- IF 突破 5,869.08 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 6,041.70 → 5,739.00
- IF 跌穿 3,270.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
5,754.00
Target
5,272.50
Stop
6,068.44
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.46%
Reward
+8.37%
R:R
1.53 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 5,739.00
- R1 (today high)
- 5,509.00
- Last
- 5,431.00
- S1 KEY
- 5,084.00
- S3
- 4,147.00
- S4 (crash)
- 3,270.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.