10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1,719.00 · S2 1,701.81 · S3 1,317.00 · S4 1,190.50
④ Position
86% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (1719-2520), entry at R1 2520, target mid 2120, stop 2670
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 2,520.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 1,719.00, stop 2,570.40
- IF 失守 1,719.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 1,701.81 → 1,693.21
- IF 突破 2,570.40 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 2,646.00 → 1,910.00
- IF 跌穿 1,190.50 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
2,520.00
Target
2,119.50
Stop
2,669.79
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.94%
Reward
+15.89%
R:R
2.67 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 1,910.00
- R1 (today high)
- 2,461.00
- Last
- 2,404.50
- S1 KEY
- 2,296.00
- S3
- 1,317.00
- S4 (crash)
- 1,190.50
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.