10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 2,510.00 · S2 2,484.90 · S3 2,037.50 · S4 1,832.50
④ Position
97% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (2510-2850), entry at R1 2850, target mid 2680, stop 2961
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 2,850.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 2,510.00, stop 2,907.00
- IF 失守 2,510.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 2,484.90 → 2,472.35
- IF 突破 2,907.00 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 2,992.50 → 2,390.00
- IF 跌穿 1,832.50 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
2,850.00
Target
2,680.00
Stop
2,961.07
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.90%
Reward
+5.96%
R:R
1.53 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 2,390.00
- R1 (today high)
- 2,850.00
- Last
- 2,840.00
- S1 KEY
- 2,712.00
- S3
- 2,037.50
- S4 (crash)
- 1,832.50
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.