10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 358.00 · S2 354.42 · S3 333.00 · S4 329.00
④ Position
61% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (358-430), entry at R1 430, target mid 394, stop 448
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 430.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 358.00, stop 438.60
- IF 失守 358.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 354.42 → 352.63
- IF 突破 438.60 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 451.50 → 366.00
- IF 跌穿 329.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
430.00
Target
394.00
Stop
448.11
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.21%
Reward
+8.37%
R:R
1.99 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 366.00
- R1 (today high)
- 406.00
- Last
- 402.00
- S1 KEY
- 392.00
- S3
- 333.00
- S4 (crash)
- 329.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.