10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 6,420.00 · S2 6,355.80 · S3 4,927.00 · S4 3,994.00
④ Position
78% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (6420-7035), entry at R1 7035, target mid 6728, stop 7267
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 7,035.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 6,420.00, stop 7,175.70
- IF 失守 6,420.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 6,355.80 → 6,323.70
- IF 突破 7,175.70 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 7,386.75 → 6,183.00
- IF 跌穿 3,994.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
7,035.00
Target
6,727.50
Stop
7,266.74
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.29%
Reward
+4.37%
R:R
1.33 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 6,183.00
- R1 (today high)
- 6,937.00
- Last
- 6,902.00
- S1 KEY
- 6,724.00
- S3
- 4,927.00
- S4 (crash)
- 3,994.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.