10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 2,422.50 · S2 2,398.28 · S3 2,109.00 · S4 2,231.00
④ Position
97% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (2422-2670), entry at R1 2670, target mid 2546, stop 2746
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 2,670.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 2,422.50, stop 2,723.40
- IF 失守 2,422.50 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 2,398.28 → 2,386.16
- IF 突破 2,723.40 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 2,803.50 → 2,714.50
- IF 跌穿 2,231.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
2,670.00
Target
2,546.25
Stop
2,746.10
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.85%
Reward
+4.63%
R:R
1.63 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 2,714.50
- R1 (today high)
- 2,670.00
- Last
- 2,663.50
- S1 KEY
- 2,608.00
- S3
- 2,109.00
- S4 (crash)
- 2,231.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.