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T-1 · 2026-08-28
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JP · SHIONOGI & CO
4507.T
2,912.50
+0.10%
SHIONOGI & CO · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Base building
Phase:
Base building
Action:
SELL
Strategy:
SELL_R1
Reliability:
—
10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 2,732.00 · S2 2,704.68 · S3 2,665.00 · S4 2,545.00
④ Position
78% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (2732-2964), entry at R1 2964, target mid 2848, stop 3046
If-then scenarios
IF
反彈至 2,964.50 區間,
THEN
SELL_R1 entry, target 2,732.00, stop 3,023.79
IF
失守 2,732.00 (S1),
THEN
SHORT confirmation, target 2,704.68 → 2,691.02
IF
突破 3,023.79 企穩,
THEN
反轉睇 3,112.72 → 3,758.00
IF
跌穿 2,545.00 (crash low),
THEN
中期 bear confirm,avoid
Action Plan
▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
2,964.50
Target
2,848.25
Stop
3,046.46
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.76%
Reward
+3.92%
R:R
1.42 : 1
Key levels
R3 (Aug high)
3,758.00
R1 (today high)
2,927.00
Last
2,912.50
S1 KEY
2,852.00
S3
2,665.00
S4 (crash)
2,545.00
⚠
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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