10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 6,575.00 · S2 6,509.25 · S3 7,387.00 · S4 6,845.00
④ Position
70% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (6575-7229), entry at R1 7229, target mid 6902, stop 7474
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 7,229.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 6,575.00, stop 7,373.58
- IF 失守 6,575.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 6,509.25 → 6,476.38
- IF 突破 7,373.58 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 7,590.45 → 10,090.00
- IF 跌穿 6,845.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
7,229.00
Target
6,902.00
Stop
7,473.60
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.38%
Reward
+4.52%
R:R
1.34 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 10,090.00
- R1 (today high)
- 7,054.00
- Last
- 7,033.00
- S1 KEY
- 6,575.00
- S3
- 7,387.00
- S4 (crash)
- 6,845.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.