10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 5,276.00 · S2 5,223.24 · S3 4,198.00 · S4 3,690.00
④ Position
69% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (5276-7245), entry at R1 7245, target mid 6260, stop 7664
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 7,245.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 5,276.00, stop 7,389.90
- IF 失守 5,276.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 5,223.24 → 5,196.86
- IF 突破 7,389.90 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 7,607.25 → 6,289.00
- IF 跌穿 3,690.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
7,245.00
Target
6,260.50
Stop
7,664.31
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.79%
Reward
+13.59%
R:R
2.35 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 6,289.00
- R1 (today high)
- 6,738.00
- Last
- 6,633.00
- S1 KEY
- 6,408.00
- S3
- 4,198.00
- S4 (crash)
- 3,690.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.