10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 3,415.00 · S2 3,380.85 · S3 2,521.00 · S4 2,238.00
④ Position
74% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (3415-3742), entry at R1 3742, target mid 3578, stop 3874
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 3,742.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 3,415.00, stop 3,816.84
- IF 失守 3,415.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 3,380.85 → 3,363.78
- IF 突破 3,816.84 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 3,929.10 → 3,170.00
- IF 跌穿 2,238.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
3,742.00
Target
3,578.50
Stop
3,874.07
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.53%
Reward
+4.37%
R:R
1.24 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 3,170.00
- R1 (today high)
- 3,678.00
- Last
- 3,658.00
- S1 KEY
- 3,544.00
- S3
- 2,521.00
- S4 (crash)
- 2,238.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.