10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 7,857.00 · S2 7,778.43 · S3 5,834.00 · S4 4,847.00
④ Position
65% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (7857-8819), entry at R1 8819, target mid 8338, stop 9155
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 8,819.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 7,857.00, stop 8,995.38
- IF 失守 7,857.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 7,778.43 → 7,739.14
- IF 突破 8,995.38 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 9,259.95 → 7,687.00
- IF 跌穿 4,847.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
8,819.00
Target
8,338.00
Stop
9,154.71
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.81%
Reward
+5.45%
R:R
1.43 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 7,687.00
- R1 (today high)
- 8,525.00
- Last
- 8,486.00
- S1 KEY
- 8,288.00
- S3
- 5,834.00
- S4 (crash)
- 4,847.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.