10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 5,876.00 · S2 5,817.24 · S3 6,033.00 · S4 5,400.00
④ Position
63% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (5876-6288), entry at R1 6288, target mid 6082, stop 6451
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 6,288.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 5,876.00, stop 6,413.76
- IF 失守 5,876.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 5,817.24 → 5,787.86
- IF 突破 6,413.76 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 6,602.40 → 7,967.00
- IF 跌穿 5,400.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
6,288.00
Target
6,082.00
Stop
6,450.83
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.59%
Reward
+3.28%
R:R
1.27 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 7,967.00
- R1 (today high)
- 6,144.00
- Last
- 6,136.00
- S1 KEY
- 5,876.00
- S3
- 6,033.00
- S4 (crash)
- 5,400.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.