10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 5,266.00 · S2 5,213.34 · S3 5,236.00 · S4 4,655.00
④ Position
93% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (5266-5688), entry at R1 5688, target mid 5477, stop 5847
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 5,688.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 5,266.00, stop 5,801.76
- IF 失守 5,266.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 5,213.34 → 5,187.01
- IF 突破 5,801.76 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 5,972.40 → 6,828.00
- IF 跌穿 4,655.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
5,688.00
Target
5,477.00
Stop
5,846.79
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.79%
Reward
+3.71%
R:R
1.33 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 6,828.00
- R1 (today high)
- 5,669.00
- Last
- 5,657.00
- S1 KEY
- 5,500.00
- S3
- 5,236.00
- S4 (crash)
- 4,655.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.